- Chelleos over 36.5 kills: Vertex is the favorite here (-120) which is good news for Chelleos who has gone over 36.5 kills in 5-straight games. Going one step further he has actually dropped 20+ kills in 9 of his last 10 individual maps showing he’s on a tear right now.
- dav1g under 30.5 kills + alex under 31.5 kills: Players (Gambit) is arguably one of the best teams in the world and they are going to be a handful for the Movistar Riders tomorrow. Movistar has only played mainly tier 2 teams so anytime they face a top 10 or top 5 team is a bit of a rough one. A good example is when they played NIP 5 weeks ago and lost 9-16 & 6-16 with Alex (24 kills) & Dav1g (25 kills) both going under. I think Gambit is a lot better too so this could even be worse than that one.
- smooya over 34.5 kills: I like the number here even despite the underdog nature of the match (+311) because of two factors. 1) Smooya is a tier 1 player and was just balling out on Fnatic, the fact that he is back to tier 2 shows he is dedicated and so far he’s backed this up with totals of 56 and 51 kills over the first two maps of his last two matches. 2) SKADE plays a lot of close matches with their rounds/map being the 2nd highest on the sheet at 27.34 rounds/map. This bodes well for a close-ish matchup where Smooya should be north of 40+ kills.
- NAF over 38.5 kills: I took his over 37.5 on Underdog and honestly think anything under 39.5 vs Godsent is good value. NAF is one of the key riflers on this team and the fact that M4A1S is such a powerful gun right now is helping him with frags as he is posting a ridiculous 82.2 ADR over the past 6 months with 33.96% of his kills coming from the silenced M4.
I would recommend breaking these plays up into different sized plays. For example if you are playing with $100 then do $25 on a 5-man flex and roll with smaller 2-3 man power plays ($15 x 5) based on the plays you feel the most comfortable with. Just like the quote, don’t put all your eggs into one basket.
The DFS Hitman 