DFS Value Report (DraftKings & FanDuel)

Are y’all ready to crush this 6-game slate?

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So who is the most valuable of them all?

Well, this may come as a surprise but for me it is Omari Spellman who is taking advantage of Dewayne Dedmon’s injury.

Yes, you heard that right but don’t flip out yet because you won’t find anyone this cheap with this much potential, I promise you.

And that is what this article is all about.

Finding value in this slate with players that you will expect to ball and players you forgot were even in the league.

I mean Spellman was just in the G-League about a week ago and now he is starting for the Hawks. Crazy how things change so quickly in this league.

Well I am not just going to talk Hawks.

We have another 6-game slate just like last night and that means the player pool is more limited and a lot more predictable.

That’s where I come in with the DFS Value Report which is aimed at giving y’all the guys who top the value charts on this slate and are projected to be the highest performers.

How I am going to accomplish this is listing out players at each position with a Value Number next to their names. The Value Number is a simple calculation of the player’s projected point total divided by their price in either DraftKings or FanDuel.

 

So without further ado, let’s get into this DFS Value Report.

 

DraftKings

 

Point Guard:

  • Westbrook – 5.5431034
  • Curry – 5.00000
  • Simmons – 5.404255
  • Booker – 4.5476
  • Oladipo – 5.29487
  • Murray – 5.125
  • LaVine – 5.19117
  • Ingram – 5.212
  • Young – 6.2903225
  • Schroeder – 5.5185

 

Shooting Guard:

  • Butler – 5.3026
  • Middleton – 5.47058
  • Thompson – 5.166
  • Wiggins – 4.723
  • Richardson – 4.857
  • Redick – 5.4464285
  • Bogdanovic – 4.9636
  • Huerter – 5.95833
  • Bembry – 6.3333

 

Small Forward:

  • Giannis – 5.169
  • Durant – 5.3608
  • Simmons – 5.404
  • George – 5.597826
  • Kuzma – 4.8767
  • Warren – 4.98387
  • Young – 5.2931
  • Redick – 5.4464285
  • Prince – 4.4313
  • Iguodala – 5.1794

 

Power Forward:

  • Sabonis – 5.0886075
  • Collins – 5.600
  • Green – 5.746
  • Markkanen – 5.213
  • Millsap – 5.1333
  • Grant – 5.90196
  • Portis – 5.5333
  • Holmes – 5.075
  • Chandler – 5.194
  • Spellman – 6.3421

 

Center:

  • Embiid – 5.5619047
  • Jokic – 5.53398
  • Towns – 5.13725
  • Ayton – 5.056
  • Adams – 5.3714285
  • Whiteside – 4.287
  • Turner – 4.907
  • Lopez – 5.7234

 

 

FanDuel

 

Point Guard: 

  • Westbrook – 5.1083
  • Curry – 4.7
  • Simmons – 4.88
  • Murray – 4.65789
  • Bledsoe – 4.52
  • Dunn – 4.64788
  • Ball – 4.73239
  • Young – 5.2608695
  • Teague – 4.78125
  • Rose – 4.4126984
  • Collison – 4.46428
  • Melton – 3.618
  • Jones – 2.8627
  • McConnell – 4.5111
  • Johnson – 4.1
  • Joseph – 5.025641

 

Shooting Guard:

  • Booker – 4.28235
  • Oladipo – 4.9156
  • Butler – 5.024
  • Thompson – 4.54
  • Middleton – 4.86486
  • Wiggins – 4.3
  • LaVine – 4.97058
  • Brogdon – 4.80645
  • Redick – 5.1428571
  • Huerter – 5.036
  • Schroeder – 5.41509
  • Hart – 4.51923
  • Ferguson – 4.5277

 

Small Forward:

  • Giannis – 4.7983
  • Durant – 4.9029
  • George – 5.175257
  • Ingram – 4.86956
  • Winslow – 4.5147
  • Richardson – 4.64615
  • Warren – 5.20
  • Oubre – 3.76
  • Bembry – 5.35185
  • Bogdanovic – 5.096

 

Power Forward:

  • Collins – 4.833
  • Sabonis – 4.94936
  • Green – 4.9189
  • Kuzma – 4.67123
  • Millsap – 4.6865
  • Markkanen – 4.7968
  • Grant – 5.7777
  • Portis – 4.78
  • Young – 5.06349
  • Carter Jr. – 4.6333
  • Spellman – 6.02857

 

Center:

  • Embiid – 5.099
  • Jokic – 4.9369
  • Towns – 4.58928
  • Ayton – 4.53846
  • Adams – 5.23287
  • Whiteside – 4.11428
  • Turner – 4.71428
  • McGee – 5.0677
  • Lopez – 5.000

 

So remember, every players value number is their projected points total divided by their price to get a value. It looks something like this: 25 points/ 5 ($5,000 price) = 5x Value.

You can do this with a player’s projected points, last 3 games avg. fantasy points, last 5 games avg., last 10 games avg.

Basically this is just a tool to help simplify the process of who is going to ball and who is overpriced and losing value.

Oubre Jr. will likely lose a ton of value with Devin Booker back in the lineup tonight.

Omari Spellman will likely gain a ton of value with Dewayne Dedmon being out tonight.

So use this value report to help yourself kill this slate.

And then shoot me a tweet after you win @DailyHitman

 

 

 

 

 

The DFS Value List (DraftKings & FanDuel)

We got a little 6-game slate tonight and I’ll be here every step of the way to help you break it down.

What is going on y’all.

We got a little 6-game slate tonight and I’ll be here every step of the way to help you break it down.

I am not going to include any of the obvious plays because what fun would that be?

James Harden & Anthony Davis lead the slate and you would have to be living under a rock to not know they have been some of the best players in DFS this year.

So then who will I be talking about?

Value Guys.

You know the guys people don’t really think about because they are so cheap.

Its goes like this:

“Oh this guy is that price? No way he is going to have a lot of points.”

Wrong my friend. Very wrong.

Kyrie Irving is out and Terry Rozier is almost minimum price on FanDuel.

Clint Capela is out for the Rockets which means someone other than Harden is going to have to step up.

These types of story lines are what break these value guys wide open.

So let’s dive in a little deeper in Today’s DFS Value List. 

 

Terry Rozier (PG, BOS) – Love Rozier’s value tonight at only $3,700 on DraftKings and $3,900 on FanDuel. He will be starting and receiving over 30 minutes with Kyrie Irving and Marcus Smart missing tonight’s contest. He only has 4 starts under his belt this year but in each one he has surpassed 30 fantasy points in FanDuel which means a ton of value. Rozier is my favorite PG of the entire slate because his value can hit upwards of 8x easily.

 

JaMychal Green (PF, MEM) – Kyle Anderson is down for multiple weeks which means that Green will be relied on more heavily off the bench. Last game vs MIA Green went off for 24 points and 11 rebounds in only 22 minutes. Jaren Jackson Jr. is fine but the Rockets like to run a lot of small ball which means his 6’11” frame may not be needed much in this one. Green who is 6’9″ and has a much better offensive game should be used a lot in this one. Green also has averaged 35.7 fantasy points per game over his last 2 game on FanDuel.

 

Davis Bertans (SF, SA) – Marco Bellinelli is down tonight which means even more minutes for Bertans off the bench. Since Rudy Gay is also out with an injury, the Spurs are slightly thin at the SF position with only Dante Cunningham being the only other true SF. Bertans has seen 26 minutes and 30 minutes over his last two game which spells for increased fantasy production. And he has with 24.05 fantasy points over his last two games. Bertans is not going to break the bank at $4,400 on FanDuel and $3,900 on DraftKings and should be a sneaky play with Bellineli being out.

 

Royce O’Neale (SF, UTA) – This guy is still a play at only $4,700 on DraftKings and $4,900 on FanDuel. He has played 77 minutes over his last two games which is insane in a back-to-back. He also averaged 33.55 points on FanDuel over those two games which makes his projected value around 6x-7x. I love the sound of that and with Utah still suffering from injuries I expect Royce to get around 37 minutes again tonight. This means he can add onto his recent success of shooting the deep ball (7 in his last 2 games), rebounding (18 in his last 2 games) and defense (5 steals + blocks over his last 2 games).

 

Jaylen Brown (SG, BOS) – You getting the picture here? Boston seems to be the stack with Brown and Rozier looking like two prime targets to have solid value tonight. Brown and Rozier are a combined $7,900 on FanDuel which is a joke. Both starting and both going to play over 30 minutes. Brown is averaging over 25 fantasy points when he plays at least 30 minutes and I bet he will tonight. Brown has scored over 20 points in 3 of his last 7. He has also scored >34.4 fantasy points on FanDuel in 3 of his last 7 which means Brown is getting hot at the right moment for the Celtics.

 

Brad Wanamaker (PG, BOS) – The final value guy on our list and this is one is a straight up dart ladies and gentleman. I have heard no word yet about if he will play at all tonight but I do see a little 24.4 point performance about ten days ago vs DAL. With Smart and Irving out this leaves the Celtics with only 3 healthy guards on the roster. Wanamaker, Brown and Rozier which means they will all likely get playing time, although Wanamaker will likely have the least. Say the game gets out of hand early though, don’t sleep on Wanamaker because he could just be a sneaky enough to play to win you some dough.

 

 

Shoot me a Tweeter @DailyHitman and let me know what you think about the list!

Criticism welcome. 😀

 

 

DFS Hitman Lineup (DraftKings)

Another day, another dollar. Am I right?

Today’s 10-game slate for NBA is looking extremely spicy with value all of over the place.

First things first.

We have a lot of injury tags that we need to go over because we got a lot.

Injuries:

  • LeBron James – OUT
  • Devin Booker – Q
  • Luka Doncic – Q
  • Myles Turner – OUT
  • Rudy Gay – OUT
  • Rajón Rondo – OUT
  • Kent Bazemore – OUT
  • Ricky Rubio – OUT
  • Nikola Mirotic – GTD
  • JJ Reddick – Q
  • Maurice Harkless – OUT
  • Dennis Smith Jr. – Q
  • Larry Nance Jr. – Q
  • Kevin Huerter – P
  • E’Twaun Moore – P
  • Rodney Hood – Q

 

This isn’t even all of the injury tags but I felt that these guys were the most important players to know statuses on. Now obviously the P is for Probable or 75% likely to play, the Q is for questionable and 50% to play. And GTD means game-time decision to check closer to tip-off. Just wanted to clear that up in case anyone didn’t understand.

To begin the slate tonight we get IND @ BOS where Myles Turner will be OUT again for the Pacers which means another start for Domantas Sabonis at C.

PHI @ WAS also starts at 4:00 PM PST which will be a rematch of last night where the Sixers dogged the Wizards by 17 points and Joel Embiid only had to play 24 minutes.

Then at 4:30 we get ATL @ BKN which should be a relatively interesting game. Kevin Huerter returns for ATL and Joe Harris and DeMarre Carroll will be back in the lineup for the Nets tonight.

After that we head to Houston where the Bucks (28-11) come into town to face off with the Rockets (23-16). Chris Paul and Eric Gordon are still out for HOU so expect James Harden to once again lead the offense and be the highest usage player on the team.

Then it’s SA @ MEM where Rudy Gay will be out for SA meaning another high usage game for DeRozan. The Grizzlies might be without JaMychal Green tonight who picked up a shoulder injury.

Next up is CLE @ NO in a game riddled with comebacks. Nikola Mirotic & E’Twaun Moore are likely to play tonight for New Orleans. For Cleveland we could see the return of Rodney Hood who has been dealing with an achilles injury.

Okay only 4 games left.

PHO @ DAL looks like value city if Doncic and Booker are OUT. Booker missed last night so he will likely be out again tonight which gives Melton, Jackson and Oubre all increased roles and insane value. For Dallas if we see either Doncic or Smith Jr. out then I think J.J. Barea or Jalen Brunson would be good values.

ORL @ UTA looks ugly. I would think about starting Raul Neto though because with Ricky Rubio OUT and Dante Exum OUT he is the only healthy PG on the roster.

Our second to last game is CHI @ POR and the Bulls still suck having lost 4 straight games. Portland isn’t exactly a defensive powerhouse though which means a lot of Bulls players are just really cheap for no reason. Love Zach LaVine’s price on DraftKings at only $6,600.

Final game of the night is DET @ LAL and we need someone from this one right? I like Lonzo Ball if you want to go cheaper, Blake Griffin if you want to pay up.

So, thats my little recap of the games. Take it how you will, alright?

Because now it is time for the real heart of this article:

 

DFS Hitman Lineup (DraftKings)

PG: D. Russell ($7,600) – Russell put up a dud last time out vs. BOS with only 5 points in 23 minutes of play. Chalk it up to the Nets coaching staff as they were without Joe Harris and sat DeMarre Carroll for rest. Russell put up 56.5 fantasy points in one game this year vs ATL which was on December 16th. Love him tonight especially with the cheaper price.

SG: K. Middleton ($6,400) – Middleton is quietly having a great year and his price is way too cheap. He has over 30 fantasy points in each of his last 3 games and has the potential to go off on the offensive end at any point. He is more of a speculative play vs the short-handed Rockets. Houston is extremely weak at SF since the departure of Trevor Ariza. That means Middleton is a go tonight.

SF: K. Oubre Jr. ($3,800) – Well of course Oubre Jr. was the guy to go off last night for PHO with Booker OUT. Since he is so young and has played so little this year I expect him to be able to take on another heavy workload on a back-to-back. Make sure Devin Booker is confirmed OUT before you lock Oubre. But this price and his potential output gives him the highest value of any player tonight.

PF: D. Sabonis ($7,100) – Myles Turner is OUT again which gives Sabonis another spot start at Center for the Pacers. Boston is good defensively but personally I think Al Horford is extremely suspect and they are undersized at PF with Marcus Morris. Domantas has been going off as well with 38.8 fantasy points per game over his last 5. His price is way too cheap for him not to be in my lineup.

C: A. Drummond ($8,600) – Chalk up two 45+ point performances in a row for Drummond who seems to have gotten his groove back. 10 steals over his last 4 isn’t bad either for someone at the center position. The Lakers are terrible at defending the center and this should equal a huge night for Drummond. And he plays in the last game of the slate, YES.

G: D. Melton ($4,300) – Another play as long as Devin Booker is OUT. Melton is such a great play because of his work on the defensive ends especially steals. I mean he had 4 steals last night and he has 15 total over his last 6 games. Throw in 8 assists, 4 rebounds, 10 points and 2 blocks and you have a very solid all-around performance. Melton could be the definition of a young up and coming 5-tooled player and I am excited to see his maturation. If Devin Booker is OUT he is a GO.

F: D. Favors ($5,600) – Favors is someone I have been keeping an eye on for a while. And he is starting to get in a zone with 31.2 fantasy points over his last 5 games. Ricky Rubio being out tonight shouldn’t affect him much but it could equal higher usage as Raul Neto isn’t the best on the offensive end. Favors is a great source of steals and blocks and I love him in my lineup tonight.

UTIL: Z. Lavine ($6,600) – Oh Zachy Boy. Don’t think I don’t see you because I do. LaVine’s scored 58 points over his last two games which could be a sign his ankle is feeling better. And his price is still low enough to call him a value king. The Zach Attack is back y’all and I think he will sneak under a lot of people’s noses tonight. Low ownership and a high ceiling, uh yes please.

 

Projection: IDK, Guess.

 

Tweet me @DailyHitman with how many points you think the lineup will get.

 

 

 

Daily Hitman Lineup (NBA)

We start off the night with IND @ CLE which should be a stomping as the Cavs are obviously tanking this year.

Okay ladies and gentleman.

It’s time for the Daily Hitman Lineup presented by yours truly.

We have an 8-game slate tonight for FanDuel and DraftKings starting at 4PM PST.

We start off the night with IND @ CLE which should be a stomping as the Cavs are obviously tanking this year.

Then we get WAS @ PHI which should be a good one. Jimmy Butler is coming back for the Sixers after missing two games with an illness. Otto Porter Jr. will also be coming off the bench again for the Wizards unless we hear something closer to tip-off.

After that we see Denver play on a back-to-back @ MIA. The Nuggets lost last night to the Rockets and Jamal Murray lost his ankles, hope he finds them this game.

ATL @ TOR follows up next and will likely be a stomping just like out first game. Toronto is the second seed in the East and Atlanta already has 27 losses. I think you get the picture.

Then we head to Oklahoma City where MIN will be playing OKC. The game is on NBA TV too so I can actually watch it, lets go. Minnesota just got Jeff Teague back and they have looked like a new team beating the Lakers by 22 last game. For OKC it is simple, Russell Westbrook is averaging 21.1 PPG, 11.0 RPG & 10.1 APG and is on a triple-double hype right now. Westbrook has averaged a triple-double over his last 3 seasons…

Our sixth game is SAC @ PHO where Devin Booker is unlikely to play. De’Anthony Melton & Josh Jackson will likely be very hot commodities tonight given their price.

Then we have our final two games of the night which happen at 7:30 PM.

NY @ GS should be a blowout with the Knicks tanking and the Warriors playing at home. I probably wouldn’t roster any higher priced guys from GS.

CHA @ LAC is our final game and it looks like Jeremy Lamb will be able to play for Charlotte after missing a few games with a hamstring injury. Cody Zeller is still out which means Bismack Biyombo & Guillermo Hernangomez will pick up the minutes at C. For the Clippers I look at Marcin Gortat who has been an absolute animal down low averaging 34.875 fantasy points over his last two games.

Well that was just a little preview of the games to get your juices flowing.

Now we dive into the lineup and build it up the right way.

Oh and if you want to, tweet me @DailyHitman and tell me what you think.

 

Daily Hitman Lineup (DraftKings)

Starting Salary = $50,000

PG: D. Melton ($4,100) vs. SAC – Melton plays off the ball when Devin Booker is healthy which obviously negates his fantasy value a lot. Tonight Devin Booker is likely to be OUT meaning Melton could be the defacto on ball PG tonight. This means a lot more minutes for Melton who has done an admirable job with 21+ fantasy points in 4 of his last 5 games. Melton is a go tonight vs. SAC.

SG: D. Hamilton (3,600) vs. TOR – This is a sleeper play with Kevin Huerter being downgraded to questionable with a calf strain. If Huerter is unable to go then Hamilton will likely jump into the starting lineup. Hamilton has actually been going off over his last 4 games, averaging 18.3125 fantasy points, but don’t forget the dud vs. MIL. He is a guy who will have low ownership and his price can help offset Westbrook’s extremely high price.

SF: A. Wiggins ($6,000) vs. MIN – The last time Wiggins faced OKC he went off for 44 fantasy points and he was the exact same $6,000 price. That’s a lot of value coming from the Timberwolves highest shot taker. Robert Covington is still out which means Wiggins is getting a minutes boost and this means more scoring for the 23-year old Canadian product.

PF: J. Jackson ($4,900) vs. SAC – Jackson will hop into the starting lineup with Devin Booker likely to miss tonight’s game with an injury. Jackson was the unsung hero in the Suns last game and played 32 minutes with Devin Booker leaving the game and only playing 12 minutes. Jackson put up 22 points on 9/13 shooting and 3/4 from 3pt-range with 4 assists and 6 rebounds vs CHA. His price is so good you have to roster him, I think.

C: M. Gortat ($4,600) vs. CHA – Am I really writing about Marcin Gortat? Yes, yes I am. Now let me explain why: Gortat has scored 30+ fantasy points in consecutive games for the first time all season. Actually these are the only 2 games he has even come close to 30 fantasy points which means something is going on. Gortat either got a new set of knees or Doc Rivers gave him a vote of confidence. Either way it has resulted in 26 points, 23 rebounds, 7 assists and 2 blocks over his last 2 games which is good for a double-double in each game. Love the value and he gives us exposure to the last game of the night.

G: R. Westbrook ($11,200) vs. MIN – Why not roster Westbrook? He is averaging a triple-double for the season. He has 3 triple-doubles in his last 4 games. His matchup tonight will be with Jeff Teague who just came off an ankle injury. Don’t expect Teague to be able to handle Westbrook tonight, this means a triple-double and hopefully a big one. Look even though Westbrook is the highest priced player he still has the 2nd best value at PG behind Melton. Start him.

F: L. Nance Jr. ($5,800) vs. IND – Yes, Larry Nance played terrible last game vs. NO. What did you expect? He had to battle with Anthony Davis and Julius Randle which might be the best big man combo in the NBA. Tonight he plays the Pacers who he has destroyed this season and his price is nice. Nance is averaging 46.25 fantasy points vs. IND and he only started one of those games. Expect Nance to play a ton and ball out tonight for the tanking Cavs.

UTIL: N. Jokic ($9,800) vs. MIA – Look I get not wanting to roster Jokic because of the back-to-back but no. He only played 28 minutes last night vs HOU in a game where the Nuggets essentially threw in the towel. The Joker still had 50+ fantasy points which gives him 5-straight games with 50+ fantasy points. He has yet to play MIA this year but in two matchups last season Jokic averaged 55.875 fantasy points and they have essentially the same team. The Joker is going off tonight and his price is cheaper than Curry. Love it.

 

 

Tell me what you think of the lineup on Twitter @DailyHitman

 

NBA Value Meter (DraftKings)

Are y’all ready for a spicy little 9-game slate tonight?

Are y’all ready for a spicy little 9-game slate tonight?

We got the Battle of LeBron’s Old Teams in MIA @ CLE.

Then we got ATL @ WAS & NO @ BKN which should be insanely high scoring games.

MIN @ BOS with an injured Kyrie Irving who will miss tonight’s game.

PHI @ PHO in a game where it looks like Joel Embiid will play but I would check starting lineups before deploying him.

Finally, we get OKC @ LAL which will be a high flying matchup between two of the best offenses in the Western Conference.

Wow. Tonight is going to be fun, so let’s strap on our thinking caps and get into the NBA Value Meter.

What I am going to do with the Value Meter is pretty simple. I will list the Top Players at every position with a value next to their name and a projection for points. How I am getting the Value is easy, take the players projected points and divide by their price. I usually like to do their last 5 game average or last 3 game average divided by price to take out variables but you get the point. This is a simple tool to find the most valuable players for your lineup.

 

NBA Value Meter (DraftKings)

 

Point Guard:

  • Russell Westbrook – 5.3418803
  • Kemba Walker – 5.50
  • Ben Simmons – 5.6404494
  • Devin Booker – 5.3855421
  • Jrue Holiday – 5.1084337
  • Mike Conley – 5.1168831
  • Lonzo Ball – 5.111111
  • Spencer Dinwiddie – 4.4444
  • D’Angelo Russell – 6.0
  • Justice Winslow – 4.7101449
  • Zach LaVine – 5.424242
  • Trae Young – 5.3846153
  • Brandon Ingram – 5.90625
  • Kris Dunn – 5.3125
  • Jordan Clarkson – 5.0
  • Tyus Jones – 6.5714285
  • Dennis Schroder – 5.2962962
  • Terry Rozier – 6.9433962
  • Elfrid Payton – 4.5283018
  • Josh Hart – 6.0377358
  • Collin Sexton – 4.7307692
  • Tomas Satoranksy – 6.4782608
  • Malik Monk – 8.222222

 

Shooting Guard:

  • Bradley Beal – 5.5813953
  • Luka Doncic – 5.3846153
  • Jimmy Butler – 4.8169014
  • Josh Richardson – 4.8259411
  • Andrew Wiggins – 5.4516129
  • Evan Fournier – 4.444444
  • JJ Redick – 5.5094339
  • Jaylen Brown – 5.8367346
  • Alec Burks – 6.833333
  • DeAndre’ Bembry – 6.1904761

Small Forward:

  • Paul George – 6.0869565
  • Kyle Kuzma – 5.226666
  • T.J. Warren – 5.4848484
  • Jayson Tatum – 5.2698412
  • Marcus Morris – 5.40
  • Trevor Ariza – 5.4915254
  • Harrison Barnes – 5.1034482
  • Otto Porter Jr. – 4.4727
  • Marvin Williams – 6.3921568

 

Power Forward:

  • Anthony Davis – 5.7627118
  • Blake Griffin – 5.047619
  • John Collins – 5.402439
  • Julius Randle – 5.525
  • Larry Nance Jr. – 6.0526315
  • Lauri Markkanen – 4.8857142
  • Aaron Gordon – 4.7647058
  • Dewayne Dedmon – 5.8965517
  • Thomas Bryant – 7.7659574

 

Center:

  • Joel Emiid – 5.1886792
  • Karl-Anthony Towns – 6.66666666
  • Nikola Vucevic – 5.5319148
  • Andre Drummond – 5.1851851
  • Marc Gasol – 5.135351
  • Deandre Ayton – 5.2054794
  • Steven Adams – 5.2173913
  • Hassan Whiteside – 4.7761194
  • Deandre Jordan – 5.8461538
  • Guillermo Hernangomez – 8.9473684

 

Okay so obviously we have a ton injuries tonight. But I mean what did you expect?

Who’s Already Ruled OUT Tonight:

  • Nikola Mirotic
  • Derrick Rose
  • Jeff Teague
  • LeBron James
  • Kyrie Irving
  • Robert Covington
  • Jeremy Lamb
  • Kent Bazemore
  • Goran Dragic
  • Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
  • Rajon Rondo
  • Markieff Morris
  • Cody Zeller
  • Allen Crabbe
  • Jonathan Simmons
  • Robert Williams
  • Aron Baynes
  • Zaza Pachulia
  • Ante Zizic
  • Ish Smith
  • Alex Abrines
  • David Nwaba

 

Okay the last probably 5-10 guys don’t even matter so listing their injuries was more just to show you the mass amount of DNPs we will see tonight. 

I really love the stack on CHA with Guillermo and Monk. But honestly their is so much value out their tonight I think you can go a lot of ways.

Good luck everyone. DM me on Twitter @DailyHitman if you have any questions about your lineup tonight!

 

DraftKings Sleeper Lineup for Week 13 NFL

Spencer Ware will likely have super high ownership on Sunday. But I am not sure I am going to buy into this farce when there are so many other options at RB that I want to run with.

Kareem Hunt is no longer a Kansas City Chief.

A video of Hunt getting rowdy outside a hotel room went viral which forced the Chiefs to make the ethical decision and let Hunt go. This means that Spencer Ware will likely have super high ownership on Sunday. But I am not sure I am going to buy into this farce when there are so many other options at RB that I want to run with.

Like these guys:

Phillip Lindsay ($5,400) – He has been on fire over his last 2 games with 3 rushing touchdowns and 216 yards from scrimmage. The Bengals Defense has allowed 147.5 YPG rushing with 14 touchdowns and only 1 fumble which is good for 31st in the NFL. Lindsay has 29 touches over his last two compared to only 14 for Royce Freeman solidifying Lindsay’s status as the #1 back in Denver.

Aaron Jones ($6,700) – He is officially on the map after 3 straight breakout performances for a Green Bay Offense that needs help right now. The 54 touches over his last 3 games has resulted in 368 yards from scrimmage and 5 total touchdowns. Jones gets a cake matchup this week vs Arizona who is ranked 30th in the NFL vs the Run and lead’s the NFL with 16 rushing touchdowns allowed.

Lamar Miller ($4,600) – Miller went nay-nay last week with a little 97-yard touchdown run vs a good Tennessee Defense. Miller ended up with only 13 touches which was 1 less than Alfred Blue (Backup) but Miller heavily outperformed Blue with 105 more yards from scrimmage and a rushing touchdown. I really like Miller’s matchup this week vs the Browns who are currently ranked 28th in the NFL vs the run and have allowed 15 rushing touchdowns.

These are three options at RB I love this week and they are not going to break your bankroll for your lineup either. Personally I really love playing Jones and Lindsay together. You can also go Christian McCaffrey if you want to pay up for a higher priced guy. McCaffrey is coming off his best game of the year, Panthers are still fighting for playoffs, and Tampa Bay is their opponent. I like it.

Then we have the wide receivers. Or the….

Pre-Madonna’s:

Adam Humphries ($4,200) – Humphries will be vaulted into a much higher role this Sunday after the loss of Desean Jackson (Thumb). He already had 6 targets last week with Jameis under center which shows they have good chemistry together. Humphries also has a cool little 4 touchdowns in his last 4 games which are his only ones of the year. Lets take this one step further, Carolina has allowed 25 passing touchdowns this season which is good for 27th in the NFL.

Chris Conley ($3,800) – We all saw what he did for the Chiefs in that Monday night game vs the Rams. 7 catches for 74 yards and 2 touchdowns is what Conley gave us with Sammy Watkins nursing an injury. Watkins is officially OUT this Sunday which gives Conley a larger role on this offense. I love the price and with Kareem Hunt being released this week as well I expect Conley to take advantage of this opportunity. A matchup vs the Raiders may be just what Conley needs for another breakout performance.

Corey Davis ($5,500) – Davis will be a sneaky play this week thanks to Tennessee’s underwhelming offense. Well the leader of this underwhelming offense is none other than the guy I am writing about right now. Corey only had 4 catches last week but he turned that into a cool 96 yards and 1 touchdown. The next guy in line, Tajae Sharpe, had 0 targets last week which means Davis doesn’t have a lot of competition for targets. Taywan Taylor returning could make things interesting but honestly I really don’t think so. Davis gets a good matchup vs the Jets Defense which struggles at defending the long ball.

 

Okay enough about those guys. What about my leaders of the Offense?

Here are the QBs:

Jameis Winston ($6,000) – Love this guy’s game even though all of the haters like to point out the interception numbers. Well guess who threw the most interceptions in NFL History? Brett Favre. So enough hating on Jameis because this guy is a good QB and last week it showed a lot. Winston threw for 2 touchdowns with 0 interceptions with an insane completion rate of 76.32%. Winston stack with Humphries is a go.

Derek Carr ($5,000) – I am kidding, please don’t be mad. If you play him do not @ me.

Case Keenum ($5,200) – Good price point for Case even though his arm has been extremely spotty this year. His ceiling is around 25 points though which is more than enough to provide value for lineups. Cincinnati is rocking the 30th ranked pass defense in the NFL and honestly I think they have the worst defense in the NFL. Temper expectations but I think Keenum will do very well this Sunday.

Finally, the part I really get excited for. Our sleeper tight ends.

Who I got:

Matt LaCosse ($2,500) – What an amazing price tag for someone who had 3 catches for 34 yards and a touchdown last week. This week he might do even more since Jeff Heuerman who was starting and playing most of the snaps is OUT for Sunday. LaCosse is literally at the minimum price point for a tight end and will be starting this Sunday.

David Njoku ($4,300) – He has been cleared of his injury tag and looks to once again lead this team in receiving. Last week he had 5 catches for 63 yards and 1 touchdown which was good for his second best game of the year. His 5 targets were tied with Jarvis Landry and Antonio Callaway which shows that Baker likes throwing to his tight ends too. Njoku also gets a nice matchup this week vs Houston who allowed Jonnu Smith (TE for Titans) to take 2 catches for 63 yards and 1 touchdown last week on Monday Night.

Travis Kelce ($7,000) – If you are paying up at tight end it is for this guy. The departure of Kareem Hunt and the injury to Sammy Watkins is going to result in a larger workload for Kelce. Last game vs the Rams he had 15 targets which led the entire Chiefs Offense. Kelce is about to go stupid on the Raiders Defense (26th in DVP vs TE) this Sunday.

 

Okay so I went through all of my picks. Now it is time to make a solid lineup for y’all.

 

The DraftKings Sleeper Lineup

QB: J. Winston ($6,000)
RB: A. Jones ($6,700)
RB: P. Lindsay ($5,400)
WR: C. Davis ($5,500)
WR: A. Humphries ($4,200)
WR: T. Hill ($9,100)
TE: T. Kelce ($7,000)
FLEX: M. LaCosse ($2,500)
D/ST: Seahawks ($3,400)

 

Shoot me a little tweet @DailyHitman with your thoughts and feelings on this lineup.

Good luck tomorrow everyone!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NBA DFS HitList (9 Game Slate)

Wow. We got a ton of injuries going on right now in the NBA and this means one thing: VALUE.

It’s time for the NBA HitList presented by The Daily Fantasy Sports Hitman.

Are you ready?

It’s a 9-game slate tonight starting off with PHI @ CHA and finishing off with OKC @ PHO. We have some big time players with Questionable tags tonight so keep an eye on their status prior to tip-off. I am talking about Joel Embiid (Hand), Aaron Gordon (Ankle), Victor Oladipo (Knee) & Russell Westbrook (Leg).

Guys that have already been ruled out are Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA), Taurean Prince (ATL), Elfrid Payton (NO), Rajon Rondo (LAL), Kawhi Leonard (TOR), Stephen Curry (GS), Draymond Green (GS) & Trevor Ariza (PHO).

Wow. We got a ton of injuries going on right now and this means one thing: VALUE.

Paul George is a perfect example of how an injury can improve a player’s value. Since Westbrook has gone down Paul George has averaged 50.2 Fpts per game (5 games). Compare this to his average with Westbrook in the lineup which was 45.14 Fpts per game (7 games). If Westbrook is unable to play again today I think George is a must start as he is still under $10,000 on DraftKings.

Another guy I love tonight is J’Rue Holiday because of the injury to Elfrid Payton. When Payton is out Holiday gets to run the PG spot and have the ball in his hands which means more assists and more touches. And he has shown this with double-digit assists in his last 3 games.

And then we have Lonzo Ball who will be the beneficiary of a lot more minutes thanks to Rajon Rondo’s injury. Ball saw 32 minutes which was his highest total in his last 6 games. Since Rondo was their only other true PG, I expect to see Ball playing upwards of 35+ minutes since he has shown that he is now 100% healthy.

Basically what you can start to see from this pattern is that every injury also creates an opportunity for someone to take a larger workload and thus more value for their price.

Above I listed a few of the staples I want to include in all of my lineups. Essentially, the first members of the DFS HitList.

 

NBA HitList

PG: Lonzo Ball ($5,400)
SG: J’Rue Holiday ($8,100)
SF: Paul George ($9,900)
PF: Pascal Siakam ($6,200)
C: Myles Turner ($4,600)
G: James Ennis III ($4,000)
F: Tyreke Evans ($3,900)
UTIL: Dennis Schroder ($7,900)

 

Now let me explain this lineup a little more just to give you all a feel. And of course if you feel like I am completely wrong about any picks feel free to let me know on Twitter @DailyHitman. I am more than happy to defend my picks!

 

Well you already know the story for Ball, Holiday, and George. But remember that George and Schroder depend 100% on Westbrook being ruled out tonight. If he plays then they go to shit, well George doesn’t but Schroder will.

Anyways, lets start off with Pascal Siakam. Kawhi Leonard is going to be OUT which means Pascal Siakam will likely receive a slight bump in usage and may be asked to score more than usual. I love Siakam’s game as he is averaging 6.6 RPG, 2.1 APG, 0.6 BPG, and 1.2 SPG all while scoring 14.3 PPG on 63.3% shooting.

Next up is Myles Turner who is quietly averaging 2.5 blocks per game for the Pacers along with 11 PPG and 4.9 RPG. He stepped up last night vs the Heat and produced his 2nd best game of the year with 12 points, 7 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 blocks and 1 steal. I really like him if Victor Oladipo ends up not going because he will be forced to pick up some of the offensive slack.

Then we have James Ennis III who is basically the reason the Rockets decided to get rid of Carmelo Anthony. Ennis has been starting all year but never was given the playing time or the confidence from his coaches to excel. With Carmelo gone, the story has changed. Ennis has played 30+ minutes in back-to-back games for the Rockets and averaged 29.4 Fpts per game during the same span. I absolutely love his price on DK for the potential he has tonight vs Sacramento.

Well how about Tyreke Evans? He is essentially the same story as Myles Turner where his value relies heavily on Victor Oladipo being ruled OUT tonight. Evans stepped up for his best game of the year by far last night vs the Heat. 23 points and 10 rebounds in only 25 minutes is an insane performance from Evans who is the play-maker for the second unit. Look for him to again look to carry Indiana offensively if Victor Oladipo ends up being hampered by his knee injury.

Finally, give me Dennis Schroder in my lineup. Schroder is an excellent point guard who can dish out assists just as good as he can score it. I mean just look at his last two games where he has averaged 17.5 PPG as well as 10.5 APG. See what I mean? You know the dude is legit because he used to have that Blonde Streak in his hair just like Wiz had. LOL I’m playing around but he really did, and I think Clint Capela still does for some reason. Oh yea, Schroder is also averaging 2.5 SPG over his last two as well. I love his matchup tonight vs. Isaiah Canaan (PHO).

 

 

 

 

 

 

Why are we giving up on Jameis so easy?

So I guess this is the ultimate plan from the Buccaneers head office.
We screwed up taking his fifth-year option, especially at $20.9 million. So they include a clause that says the money is only guaranteed if he gets injured.

I even did it. I found myself chanting Fitzmagic whilst sitting on my couch doing nothing.

Jameis Winston is a legitimate NFL Quarterback. He has thrown for 75 TDs, 12,187 yards and has a career 61.2% completion rate.

I really don’t understand how we can all be calling for his departure after one bad game?

Like come on. Sure, he throws a lot of interceptions and needs to take better care of the ball. I get that. But he also can throw a ball 60 yards on a line in his sleep. Jameis has legitimate arm talent and accuracy has never been an issue for him. His issue is decision making and it may be alarming to most. But not to me.

First it begins with his college antics. Yelling idiotic phrases in the quad, cursing in class, and multiple other acts showed Jameis Winston’s immaturity. But I mean come on he was a young kid who was having fun, I think we have all been there at one point.

What I don’t understand is how the Buccaneers choose to handle the situation.

The Buccaneers head office was forcing Winston to deal with his immaturity issues through counseling. Really counseling? Unbelievable. I can not imagine playing for an organization, being their star player, and then they tell me I need counseling. Then after he has a game with 4 interceptions they decide to start Ryan Fitzpatrick the next week?

I am not sure I have ever seen a bigger lack of confidence in a player in my life. But I mean I guess I understand. The Buccaneers are essentially clueless when it comes to dealing with their players on a human level. They are more about the money.

 

In April, the Buccaneers opted to pick up the fifth-year option on Winston’s rookie contract at $20.9 million. Winston was suspended for the first three games of this season, stemming from allegations of sexual assault against an Uber driver. In his absence, Fitzpatrick played well, leading the Buccaneers to wins in two of their first three games.

Winston’s fifth year becomes fully guaranteed if he’s injured at any point this season. However, the team can release him without any salary-cap implications this offseason if he’s not hurt.

Source: NY Post

So I guess this is the ultimate plan from the Buccaneers head office.

We screwed up taking his fifth-year option, especially at $20.9 million. So they include a clause that says the money is only guaranteed if he gets injured.

What kind of contract is that? And why the hell would his agent allow him to sign this?

I guess it was his rookie contract so Jameis didn’t really understand what these NFL teams will do with a full team of lawyers at their disposal. This is why I think athletes should be able to major in professional sports. But I do not have enough money or hair to stand up for the good fight.

The good fight that is righteousness.

 

 

If anyone read this far please send me a mention on Twitter @DailyHitman.

LOVE,

The Daily Fantasy Hitman

 

Winners & Losers – Week 8 NFL

I mean sure the Browns have a combined record of 6-49-1 over the last 4 years, but who’s counting?

With every winner comes a loser.

It’s a sad truth but without teams like the Cleveland Browns we wouldn’t have an NFL. These beautiful losers hold up the rear end of the NFL like a old pair of tighty whities.

I mean sure the Browns have a combined record of 6-49-1 over the last 4 years, but who’s counting?

Either way we had a lot of winners last week and a lot of losers. So lets go through and see who made our list for Week 8 of the NFL Season.

 

Winners

 

Ryan Fitzmagic – I don’t even think you can spell the word winner without Fitzmagic. I mean this guy came into the game last week for one quarter and led his team to more points (18) than they had scored in the entire three quarters before (16). Then he proceeded to get the starting nod from his head coach for week 9. I mean come on Ryan Fitzmagic has to be feeling pretty special right now don’t you think?

 

Cam Newton – Kelvin Benjamin is over in Buffalo getting chewed out by Derek Anderson & Cam Newton is busy dabbing in the end-zone. Cam Newton gets gifted a matchup from the fantasy gods this week versus the Buccaneers. Newton is poised to be the #1 fantasy player this week. Bet on it.

 

Nathan Peterman – How awesome of a job does this guy have? Sit back, not play and make millions thousands of dollars. He sort of reminds me of the backup QB from Blue Mountain State who never wanted to play. Nathan ends up getting himself thrown back into the fire this week because guess what Buffalo has no more healthy QBs. Good luck out there Nathan. Whether he throws for 5 TDs or 5 INTs again, he is a winner. Because he sits on a bench and earns more money than almost anyone. Wow, class act Nathan.

 

The Packers – The unloading of Ha Ha Clinton Dix as well as Ty Montgomery should help this team with one thing, chemistry. It is obvious that Montgomery was angry with his role in the offense and that led to him making a costly error for the Packers last week. Montgomery was the guy who fumbled on the kick return to lose the game versus the Rams. I am not as certain with Clinton Dix but I expect there is a reason they were both shipped after last weeks close loss. The Packers are a really good team and two players with little impact on the field should not be making such crucial mistakes. Good call from the Packers Head Office.

 

 

Losers

 

Jameis Winston – Benched. The cold hard truth. After throwing his fourth interception, which was returned for a TD, the Bucs finally said enough is enough. I believe Jameis may have thrown his last pass as a Buccaneer which is really sad. I wish the best for him but things are not looking good for Winston. He is officially feeling like a loser this weekend.

 

The 49ers & The Raiders – These teams are giving the Bay Area a bad name. Combined record this year is 2-13. With the Raiders leaving for Las Vegas and the 49ers already having sold out I find it funny. Maybe once you invest a ton of money into the teams you would also want to make sure they can be competitive? I am so critical of the 49ers signing of Jimmy G. and this set their franchise back even further after his ACL injury. The Raiders on the other hand are making sure anyone that their fans recognize is off the roster. I am really starting to hate Jon Gruden and that is coming from a Raider Fan. Wait I should hate Jon Gruden he beat us in the super bowl.

 

The Lions – No idea why they would trade away Golden Tate who up to this point has been there best WR. I guess they think Golladay and Jones will pick up the slack which is probably true but I really don’t understand why now. They are essentially throwing in the towel this season after that trade.

 

Eli Manning – Pretty sure he is going to lose his starting job at some point this year. I feel bad for the guy, this situation is just not a good fit for him. The Giants need a QB who is mobile to help with their offensive line woes. And honestly Eli Manning is just not mobile at this point in his career. We can’t forget how great Eli Manning has been for the Giants. But at the end of the day a 1-7 record is not what any Giants fans expected after the addition of Saquon Barkley in NFL Draft.

Let me know what you think on Twitter @DailyHitman!

Ryan Fitzpatrick to the Jaguars?

Ryan Fitzpatrick is just wasting away on the Bucs bench and the Jaguars have a bigger QB problem than we thought.

Tell me this would not be a perfect match?

Ryan Fitzpatrick is just wasting away on the Bucs bench and the Jaguars have a bigger QB problem than we thought.

We knew things were bad when Bortles threw 4 interceptions to the Chiefs in week 5. Then during week 6 we saw him lead the Jaguars into Dallas and lose 40-7 while throwing for only 149 yards through the air and 1 TD. Yesterday was the final straw, Bortles lost two fumbles and his team was down 20-0 when Cody Kessler took over at QB. Kessler did alright throwing for 156 yards and 1 TD on 21/30 completions but he also threw a pick and the Jaguars still lost 20-7.

Believe it or not, Jacksonville is only 1 game back from the first place Texans. It isn’t too late for Jacksonville to bring in one or two more key offensive pieces to help them make a push for playoffs. They need a new QB and I would also like to see them add a new TE because David Grinnage is not cutting it.

I am calling for Ryan Fitzpatrick to get traded to the Jaguars for Carlos Hyde.

Okay I am obviously kidding, the Jaguars are going to be without Leonard Fournette until November 11th vs the Colts due to the hammy injury. Carlos Hyde is here to stay.

But I do like the thought of the Jaguars adding a veteran QB like Fitzpatrick who can inject some immediate life into this offense. Fitzpatrick has proved this year that he can still hang with the big dogs putting up some pretty amazing stats in only three and a half games – (1,356 yards – 11 TD – 5 INT).

Then they need to add a nice young tight end. First name that comes to my mind is Chris Herndon, the rookie out of Miami that the Jets drafted 4th in the NFL Draft. Now I am assuming since he is a rookie they probably won’t trade him but this is the kind of guy I am talking about. A young tight end who’s skill-set is pass catching and not blocking.

The Jaguars have a talented group of young wide receivers with a veteran voice in D.J. Moncrief. They just need someone who can actually get them the ball. If they listen to me and make a trade for Ryan Fitzpatrick then maybe they can turn their season around sooner rather than later.

 

DFS Hitman Lineup – NFL Week 7

Carlos Hyde has been traded to the Jaguars. No way. Nick Chubb is now officially sleeper of the week.

Making a lineup for Sunday can be hard. Like really hard.

Do I start Leonard Fournette? Or do I start Dalvin Cook?

Maybe start both if you’re feeling lucky.

Okay I am kidding of course, both of the guys I mentioned are not even playing this week having already been ruled out with hamstring injuries.

Leonard Fournette will be replaced by T.J. Yeldon ($6,400 on DraftKings).

Dalvin Cook will be replaced by Latavius Murray ($5,000 on DraftKings).

These guys are both interesting options on this Sunday’s slate because they are starting and lower priced than most of the other guys. Well Murray is.

The game that I will be stacking in this one is the Vikings @ Jets.

The projected score is Vikings (24.8) @ Jets (21.3) with an over/under of 46.0. The Jets have allowed over 30 points in 2 of their last 3 games showing that their defense is not very good. Minnesota averages 27.67 points per game on the road so far through 3 games, look for this offense to go off.

Players I will be stacking from MIN will be….

Adam Thielen ($8,600) – Double digit targets in every game this year. 58 catches for 712 yards and 4 TDs through only 6 games. Thielen is on pace for one of the best seasons ever for a WR. Can you believe he averages more fantasy points on the road this year?

Stefon Diggs ($7,200) – Insane road stats and terrible home stats which I honestly can’t explain. On the road he has 30 catches for 342 yards and 2 TDs; at home he has 10 catches for 93 yards and 1 TD. You see what I mean? I don’t understand it but I am rolling with it. Minnesota plays like they hate being at home. What’s really going on is a terrible defense on the road (32.67 PPG allowed) that forces the offense to play catch up.

Latavius Murray ($5,000) – He finally had a good game last week and what do you know it was the first game he got over 11 carries. Someone in Minnesota did some crucial analysis about how running backs tend to do better when they are involved in the offense, and they were right. Minnesota ran the ball on 46% of plays compared to 29% the week before. The Jets run defense allows 108.7 yards per game and should have plenty of problems dealing with Murray.

Kirk Cousins ($6,400) – He has two games with over 400 yards passing. Both on the road. He has two games with over 3 TD passes. Both on the road. Kirk Cousins faces off versus the Jets pass defense which ranks 22nd in the NFL in DVP vs QB. I don’t even need to explain this situation, play Cousins.

I will only be stacking these 4 players from the Vikings leaving me with a few spots left to fill for the lineup.

QB: K. Cousins ($6,400)
RB: L. Murray ($5,000)
RB: ?
WR: A. Thielen ($8,600)
WR: S. Diggs ($7,200)
WR: ?
TE: ?
FLEX: ?
D/ST: ?

Here are my fill-ins.

RB: Todd Gurley II ($9,800) – He is the highest scoring fantasy player through 7 weeks and he gets a softball matchup versus one of the worst defenses in the NFL. San Francisco allows the 4th most points in the NFL with 29.8 points allowed per game. The Rams have the highest projected score of the slate and I expect Gurley to continue to receive extremely heavy usage. Especially with the Rams missing WR Cooper Kupp. Gurley has received 56 touches and scored 5 rushing touchdowns in the last 2 weeks.

WR: Jermaine Kearse ($4,100) – He is going to be the next guy up in New York with Quincy Enunwa being ruled out and Terrelle Pryor being doubtful to play. Kearse was already on the receiving end of 10 targets last week from Sam Darnold and it resulted in 9 catches for 94 yards. Kearse used to play for the Seahawks but was always sort of a WR 3 or 4. He gets a huge opportunity this week versus a Vikings defense that allows 32.67 points per game on the road.

TE: Charles Clay ($2,800) – I hate that I am even mentioning him but got dammit he is cheap so what the hell. Clay had 5 targets last week from Josh Allen and Nathan Peterman, and they will both be out this week. The starter is going to be Derek Anderson which means that Charles Clay might have a chance for a solid week. Josh Allen is a terrible QB and has made Charles Clay basically a dead fantasy asset. I think he still has life and he has been relatively healthy for the first time all year. BREAKOUT GAME I AM CALLING IT.

FLEX: Nick Chubb ($3,600) – I was at the game where Nick Chubb took 3 carries for 105 yards and 2 TDs on the Raiders. I witnessed the magic that is Chubb. But for some reason he gets the backseat to Carlos Hyde who does nothing. Well Head Coach Hue Jackson has had enough. He said the Browns need to give Chubb more opportunities and holy shit I just saw that Carlos Hyde has been traded to the Jaguars. No way. Nick Chubb is now officially sleeper of the week.

D/ST: Dolphins ($2,500) – I really hate paying up for a defense and seeing them give up a touchdown in the first couple minutes on Sunday. So I will no longer do it. I see a good amount of value coming out of a Miami defense that leads the NFL with 11 interceptions. The Lions offense is good but not top-tier, I like Miami for a cheaper flex option at D/ST. Remember they have Jakeem Grant, the extremely fast WR who already has a punt return for TD and a kick return for TD this season.

 

So here is the full DFS Hitman Lineup.

Let me know what you think on twitter @DailyHitman

QB: K. Cousins ($6,400)
RB: T. Gurley II ($9,800)
RB: L. Murray ($5,000)
WR: A. Thielen ($8,600)
WR: S. Diggs ($7,200)
WR: J. Kearse ($4,100)
TE: C. Clay ($2,800)
FLEX: N. Chubb ($3,600)
D/ST: Dolphins ($2,500)

Start Em’ or Sit Em’ – NBA DFS

Too many times I have passed up the likes of Ben Simmons for Dario Saric. Too many times.

To start or not to start. That is the question.

Many DFS players will go crazy editing their lineups for hours on end when the correct plays are looking them right in the face. Yes I am talking about myself as well.

Too many times I have passed up the likes of Ben Simmons for Dario Saric. Too many times. That is why I went back to my roots. The first time I ever tried to mathematically create a lineup instead of going on my gut. And it is actually a lot simpler than you think.

So, what you do is take the players last 5 games and average them out. This isn’t going to work tonight because a lot of these teams haven’t even played a game yet this year. So instead of that number we will replace it with their projections. All you do is divide this number by the player’s price tag and then x 1000 to get their value. For example, Ben Simmons is projected for 48 points and his price tag is $7,000 then his value would be .00685714 x 1000 = 6.857 (I rounded to 3 decimals). Also that was all hypothetical to show you how I determine value very easily.

This value number is something that I use a lot while making my lineups. I will find the value for all of the players and then basically play the guys with the highest value. But, you also need to add some critical thinking here. Just because a guy’s value number is higher than another one doesn’t necessarily equal more fantasy points. You need to use the value number in combination with a few other variables like projected minutes, usage % & injury news.

Now it is time to talk about our main topic: Start Em’ or Sit Em’

 

Start Em’

 

Justin Holiday ($4,300) – Holiday is in a good position for a lot of playing time tonight with Kris Dunn & Denzel Valentine being ruled out. The Bulls are very thin at the Small Forward spot and I expect Holiday to see north of 30 minutes in this game. At such a cheap price tag I have Holiday marked at a 6.512 value rating and my starting SF.

Ben Simmons ($9,500) – I am not going to make this mistake again. Ben Simmons is going to use his 6’10” frame to dominate the weak defensive PGs of CHI. His stat line last game was this – 19 points, 15 rebounds, 8 assists, 2 blocks, 4 steals. This guy is going to make a push for MVP this year I can just feel it.

Josh Richardson ($6,200) – As long as Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow & James Johnson continue to be out, Josh Richardson will continue to be relevant. Richardson saw 38 minutes in their first game last night vs Orlando showing that he is their #1 guy for offense. He faces off tonight versus the Bradley Beal & John Wall led Wizards in what looks to be a high scoring game.

John Wall ($8,200) – This is way too cheap for a player like John Wall who receives almost 100 touches per game. He is a top-tier PG who is projected to receive around 38-40 minutes if this game is close. Wall averaged 19.4 PPG with 9.6 APG which was lower than usual due to injuries last year. He is healthy, but the price tag doesn’t reflect.

Brandon Ingram ($6,700) – Holy cow this guy has been going off in the preseason. But my worry is that with LeBron coming into LA the team looks a little congested from a DFS perspective. Mainly because I am not sure who will be the hot hand for the Lakers on any given night. I do like that Ingram looks to be the #1 scoring option for the Lakers and that they run an extremely fast paced offense.

Jusuf Nurkic ($6,300) – I have always thought this guy was a beast ever since he played alongside Nikola Jokic in Denver. He is quick and nimble for a man his size and it results in a lot more 5-stat-production than other centers. Nurkic is going to receive around 35 minutes and will have a really easy matchup versus the Lakers who lack big man depth.

 

 

Sit Em’

 

Kris Dunn ($6,600) – He isn’t playing.

Wendell Carter Jr. ($4,200) – Sure he is starting but I already can tell you what is going to happen. Joel Embiid is a beast down low and Carter Jr. is no match. Look for Robin Lopez to play more minutes than Carter Jr.

Markelle Fultz ($4,500) – Terrible showing versus the Celtics two nights ago. 5 points on 2/7 shooting is not going to cut it for someone who is supposed to replace J.J. Reddick. Fultz has lost all of his MOJO and I don’t think Austin Powers is going to be able to help him get it back.

Kelly Olynyk ($6,100) – No clue why he is more expensive than Goran Dragic tonight. Especially after playing only 15 minutes versus Orlando.

Dwight Howard ($5,900) – Questionable with a back injury but has been practicing so will probably play tonight. Dwight Howard didn’t play in the preseason which doesn’t bode well for developing chemistry with his new teammates. I hate Dwight tonight.

LeBron James ($10,800) – Really hard for me to say sit LeBron because he could easily drop a triple double in his sleep. The problem for me revolves around that fat price tag. He could justify it if he puts on a retro LeBron performance but with a much better team around him in LA I don’t believe he will even need to.

Rajon Rondo ($5,800) – Rondo was brought in during the offseason to help the Lakers shore up some PG depth for a deep playoff run. Rondo will also be the immediate starter for the Lakers as far as I know, but unfortunately he will probably receive less playing time than backup Lonzo Ball.

 

You got any problems with my Start Em’ or Sit Em’ ?

Let me know on Twitter @DailyHitman

The DFS Hitman Takes On NBA Tip-Off

Adam Silver sent me an email today. And he told it to me up front.

He said,

“Dear Gregory, Tonight we tip off the 73rd season of the NBA.”

I replied,

“Thank you Adam. Can you put an extra coat of wax on that head today for me?”

LOL. I didn’t actually reply to him but oh boy you know I was thinking it.

Today we have but only two games to analyze for our DFS lineups. This means a lot of people are going to be running the exact same players and you need to be different. So different that maybe you fade the entire Warriors Team. Okay maybe not that different. But you get the idea.

I do not want to be picking every big ticket guy and hoping no one else takes him. Because they will. From my experience I am predicting players like Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry, Dennis Schroder, Paul George, Ben Simmons, Joel Embiid all to be over 50% ownership in lineups at least. You can flex around this by taking the likes of Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, Jason Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Dario Saric, Robert Covington, who are all viable options especially at their price points.

Now before I make my lineup and tell you who I will be rolling with we need to paint the picture for each game.

PHI @ BOS

This is the best game tonight by far. Philadelphia comes into this one after being knocked out of the playoffs by the Celtics last year. They will be out for blood tonight in The Garden. Markelle Fultz is starting tonight for Brett Brown instead of J.J. Reddick, who will be starting the second half according to Brown. He basically wants to see which lineup is better, but this also means Fultz will probably not receive a starter’s allotment of minutes. Other news from PHI is that Wilson Chandler (SF) & Mike Muscala (PF) will be out tonight. This means more minutes for Robert Covington (SF), Dario Saric (PF) and possibly Amir Johnson (PF) off the bench. I love Dario Saric tonight, especially after he carved up this same Celtics team last year in the playoffs.

On the Celtics side you have a team who was extremely close to making the finals last season. Now they get back two all-stars who weren’t even playing during that playoff run. WOW. Kyrie Irving (PG) and Gordon Hayward (SF) will be returning to the Celtics lineup tonight and they will be starting. There isn’t any injury news from the Celtics side meaning their bench rotation is still intact. Look for Terry Rozier, Marcus Smart, Aaron Baynes & Marcus Morris all to see around 20 minutes of playing time.

 

OKC @ GS

This game will be over by the end of the 3rd quarter. The Thunder need Russell Westbrook like the Packers need Aaron Rodgers, it’s like a law I think. Well, when you take away Russell Westbrook out of the equation you also have no identity for your team. Who will the Thunder be without Westbrook? Will Paul George put the team on his back and attempt 40 shots? Will Dennis Schroder step up at the Starting PG and make Stephen Curry look stupid? Will Steven Adams even Play? A lot of question marks coming out of the OKC side. And they face the reigning NBA Champions. Good luck. Now I am speculating here, but with Andre Roberson out for OKC I think they will start Hamidou Diallo at SG. Other starters are Patrick Patterson who inspires no hope on any DFS lineup. Look for Dennis Schroder & Paul George to be the only fantasy options for OKC, with Diallo & Adams being very close if they start.

On the Warriors side we have basically the same team that won the NBA Championship last year minus JaVale McGee (Lakers). This means it will be the same story. Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Kevin Durant & Draymond Green all being great fantasy options. They also have a new Starting Center in Damian Jones. But if you know anything about the Warriors it is that they love to play a lot of small ball meaning Jones may only get 10-15 minutes which limits his fantasy value a lot. My picks from the Warriors are Green and Thompson because I want to avoid the high ownership of Curry and Durant in a game where they may not play in the 4th quarter.

 

Two game slate.

Two Hitman Lineups.

It is time for the DFS Hitman to take on the NBA Tip-Off.

 

Lineup for DraftKings


PG: K. Irving $7,600
SG: K. Thompson $5,900
SF: P. George $8,000
PF: D. Saric $5,500
C: D. Green $7,300
G: J. Brown $5,300
F: R. Covington $4,700
UTIL: J. Tatum $5,600

Projected: 265.8 Points

 

Lineup for FanDuel


PG: M. Fultz $5,700
PG: K. Irving $8,400
SG: A. Iguodala $4,300
SG: D. Schroder $6,100
SF: R. Covington $6,500
SF: P. George $9,000
PF: D. Saric $6,400
PF: D. Green $8,000
C: J. Bell $5,400

Projected: 273.1 Points

 

Let me know how great my lineups are on Twitter @DailyHitman

 

 

 

The DFS Guide for Monday Night Football

The San Francisco Forty-Winers (1-4) head into Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (2-2-1) on Monday Night Football.

By: The DFS Hitman – (@DailyHitman)

The San Francisco Forty-Winers (1-4) head into Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (2-2-1) on Monday Night Football. I am not sure if you can tell, but I am not very fond of the 49ers this year.

Or any year.

Because they stink. Especially when they are on the road.

The 49ers are 0-3 on the road with losses to the Vikings, Chiefs & Chargers. Damn the 49ers have had a tough road schedule to open up the year and it isn’t getting any easier tonight. Green Bay is 2-2-1 this year and MVP Candidate Aaron Rodgers has finally healed from his early knee injury.

Aaron Rodgers Stats through 5 Games: 63% Completion, 1572 Yards, 10 TDs, 1 INT

49ers Pass Defense through 5 Games: 59.2% Completion, 1269 Yards, 12 TDs, 1 INT

The 49ers defense only had 1 interception through 5 weeks which is really concerning versus a QB like Rodgers who rarely turns it over. They also rank 28th in the NFL in Sacks with only 9 on the year. Green Bay’s o-line has been far from perfect though with the 8th most sacks allowed in the NFL (18). I expect Rodgers to be fine in the pocket versus a young 49ers defense who has allowed 29.2 PPG this season.

So.

If you can’t tell already I really like Aaron Rodgers tonight for DFS. But the concern for me is with the health of the GB WR core. With Randall Cobb & Geronimo Allison listed as Questionable tonight I find myself only wanting to play Devante Adams. But he is so gosh darn expensive on DraftKings that it isn’t even funny.

This makes me think hmmmm, what If I play someone like Equanimeous St. Brown. I know right? Who the hell is this guy? I mean this guy only had 3 catches last week for 89 yards, which is not the best, but it also shows us his skill set. He is a fast, big play WR which usually equates into very good DFS punt players, trust me.

Another guy who saw increased usage was Marquez Valdes-Scantling who saw 10 targets which resulted in 7 catches for 68 yards and 1 TD. Now I have heard rumors that Randall Cobb & Geronimo Allison will be inactive tonight despite their questionable tags. If this is indeed true then we have two huge sleepers on our hands in the aforementioned players, St. Brown & Valdes-Scantling.

What about the Green Bay RB Situation?

Well, Aaron Jones is the lead RB who will receive majority of the touches if Green Bay rolls in this one like I think they will. The next guy up who receives most of the passing downs will be Ty Montgomery who inspires little hope in my eyes. Then we have Jamaal Williams, the guy everyone predicted to ball out while Jones was suspended. He has delivered 53 rushes for 195 yards which is good for around 3.68 YPC, I hate his DFS Stock this week and every week after that.

Snap Breakdown for GB RBs:

Aaron Jones (33), Ty Montgomery (29), Jamaal Williams (22).

(Remember this is a snap breakdown for a game where GB was losing 24-0 at Halftime and had to abandon the Run.)

Of course this is only the Green Bay side of the ball, I know I am a total 49er hater but that doesn’t mean I won’t give them a fair shot tonight. I mean the 49ers only win this year was actually versus the Lions who destroyed the Packers. So I mean in a theoretical world I guess the 49ers should destroy the Packers too? Not so fast.

The Packers are 2-0-1 at Home, while the 49ers are 0-3 on the Road. Now do the math on that one if you would be so kind. Not good huh?

But Wait, There Is Hope

Just kidding. The 49ers are 0-2 since Jimmy G. got hurt and C.J. Beathard stepped up. They have lost to the Chargers by 2 points and the Cardinals by 10 points. I mean come on losing to the Cardinals by 10 points is not okay for a team that had so much hype coming into this year for no reason. Wait, they paid some overrated QB $137 million dollars to come play with them? Wow! They might end up with 6 wins this year!

Actually they are on pace for an even worse record than last year. Their new QB C.J. Beathard is not someone you should be excited about. He has started 7 games in his career and holds a 1-6 record and has thrown more interceptions (10) than touchdowns (8). This means his WRs are typically held in check and not on anyone’s fantasy radar ever. But he does throw well to his TEs which is one bright spot for the young QB.

His Favorite Target:

George Kittle is the one bright spot on this 49ers offense. In two weeks with Beathard under center, Kittle has had two of his best games as a receiver. Week 4 vs the Chargers he had 6 catches for 125 yards and a touchdown. He followed that up in Week 5 vs the Cardinals with 5 catches for 83 yards. Kittle is dealing with a knee injury that he suffered versus the Cardinals last week but the status quo is that he will be able to play tonight. I love Kittle’s matchup tonight versus Green Bay’s defense who ranks 21st in the NFL vs TEs.

Now it is time. To make a lineup. Finally.

My Lineup

Captain: E. St. Brown ($3,600)
UTIL: A. Rodgers ($12,200)
UTIL: D. Adams ($11,600)
UTIL: C. Beathard ($8,800)
UTIL: A. Jones ($7,200)
UTIL: M. Goodwin ($6,600)

Let me know what you think about the lineup on Twitter @DailyHitman!

The DFS Guide for NFL Week 6

Twitter @DailyHitman

Are you ready for some gosh darn football?

I know I am because that means another Sunday of DFS contests for NFL.

The games look enticing. I see big offenses like Pittsburgh, Atlanta, Cincinnati & even the Browns and I start salivating. My crystal ball is predicting big things from these games.

But, then we have games like um, Buffalo @ Houston or Jacksonville @ Dallas which are muss less appealing. I want high a over/under from the game if I am going to take offensive players from that game. The only time I would like a low over/under is if I am taking a running back in a blowout win, or a strong defense.

Speaking of defense, how about the Bears getting an extremely nice matchup versus The Dolphins this week, I love them in my lineup this week.

But I am not going to ramble off my defense picks this week at the beginning of the article. It would mess up the flow of my article and I cannot have that.

I’m going to dive into all the games and put a one sentence excerpt about what I think.

 

TB @ ATL – O/U: 57.0 – Atlanta is desperate for a win this week, Matt Ryan is completely different at Home (+18.6) versus Away (-6.3), and Tampa Bay’s defense allows the highest net passing yards in the NFL.

My Pick: Atlanta

My Players: Matt Ryan, Tevin Coleman, Mohamed Sanu, Julio Jones

 

PIT @ CIN – O/U: 50.0 – Steelers offense made the Run Game a priority last week, Cincinnati’s defense ranks 23rd in NFL in Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game, Antonio Brown looked very good last week with over 2x the targets of anyone else.

My Pick: Pittsburgh

My Players: James Conner, Antonio Brown

 

LAC @ CLE – O/U: 46.5 – Baker Mayfield is a beast, Chargers rank 26th in DVP vs WR, Jarvis Landry will have a huge day.

My Pick: Cleveland

My Players: Baker Mayfield, Jarvis Landry, Antonio Callaway, David Njoku

 

BUF @ HOU – O/U: 40.0 – Houston’s defense is still one of the best in the NFL, Buffalo’s offense is still one of the worst in the NFL, avoid this for fantasy.

My Pick: Houston

My Players: Texans D/ST

 

CHI @ MIA – O/U: 41.5 – Ryan Tannehill has a shoulder injury to add to his poor play this season, Tribusky threw for 6 TD passes last game, Miami’s offense will fall victim to Chicago’s NFL Leading Defense.

My Pick: Chicago

My Players: Bears D/ST, Mitchell Tribusky, Tarik Cohen, Taylor Gabriel

 

ARI @ MIN – O/U: 44.0 – Josh Rosen has not inspired much hope as the new QB in this lifeless Arizona offense, Minnesota’s offense is really good through the air, Arizona ranks 4th in DVP vs WR.

My Pick: Minnesota

My Players: Vikings D/ST

 

IND @ NYJ – O/U: 47.0 – Sleeper potential here, T.Y. Hilton will be OUT for IND, IND defense allows 27.6 PPG which is 27th in the NFL, Jets Offense is coming off their best game as a team (Very Young).

My Pick: New York

My Players: Sam Darnold, Isaiah Crowell (Game-Time Decision) or Bilal Powell, Robby Anderson

 

SEA @ OAK – O/U: 48.5 – Seattle played the rams down to the wire losing by a score of 33-31, Oakland played the rams and got dogged 33-13, Seattle is going to destroy Oakland in a game that will be played in London.

My Pick: Seattle

My Players: Chris Carson, Tyler Lockett, Seahawks D/ST

 

CAR @ WAS – O/U: 44.5 – Washington has about 5 game-time decisions this Sunday to almost all of their skill position players, Carolina’s offense has scored 30 points in back-to-back weeks, Greg Olsen might make his return this week for the Panthers.

My Pick: Carolina

My Players: Christian McCaffrey

 

LAR @ DEN – O/U: 51.5 – The Ram’s offense is the third highest scoring in the NFL with 34.6 PPG, Denver’s defense allows 26.2 PPG which is 22nd in the NFL, high powered offenses do well in Denver so Viva La Rams (Remember the KC game)!

My Pick: Los Angeles Rams

My Players: Todd Gurley II, Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods, Jared Goff

 

JAC @ DAL – O/U: 40.0 – The Dallas offense has been terrible this year with only 16.6 PPG which is good for 30th in the NFL, Jacksonville just happens to sport a defense that ranks 3rd in Points Allowed with only 17.2 PPG, be ready for a defensive showdown and a low scoring affair.

My Pick: Jacksonville

My Players: T.J. Yeldon, Jaguars D/ST

 

BAL @ TEN – O/U: 41.5 – Baltimore’s defense is ranked 1st in the NFL with only 15.4 points allowed per game, Tennessee’s defense is ranked 3rd in the NFL with only 17.2 points allowed per game, defense is on the menu for this game so avoid for fantasy.

My Pick: Baltimore

My Players: Ravens D/ST or Titans D/ST

 

Boom. All 13 games right there for you to choose from. Personally I am rolling with games like TB @ ATL, IND @ NYJ & SEA @ OAK to stack into my DFS lineups this week. I would avoid the hell out of games like JAC @ DAL, ARI @ MIN & BUF @ HOU. If you have players from those teams just know they are super deep sleepers this week.

But hey, “Any Given Sunday,” right?

Wrong.

The stats are here for a reason. Teams aren’t just going to pull brand new offensive playbooks out of their asses.

This means teams like Dallas (16.6 PPG), Arizona (13.0 PPG), Buffalo (12.6 PPG), Tennessee (17.4 PPG), Miami (19.8 PPG), Denver (20.0), Jacksonville (20.4 PPG) & Washington (20.8 PPG) just have bad offenses and shouldn’t be touched in DFS.

Teams I want to target in DFS are the LA Rams (34.6 PPG), Cincinnati (30.6 PPG), Pittsburgh (28.6 PPG), Tampa Bay (28.0 PPG), Chicago (27.8 PPG), LA Chargers (27.4 PPG), Atlanta (26.6 PPG) & Carolina (26.0 PPG).

I really love stacking Atlanta and then throwing in some players from the New York Jets to get guys with lower ownership values who are still in a good position.

This lineup would look a little something like this:

QB: Matt Ryan ($6,800 DraftKings)
RB: Tevin Coleman ($5,400 DraftKings)
RB: Isaiah Crowell ($5,000 DraftKings)
WR: Robby Anderson ($4,600 DraftKings)
WR: Julio Jones ($7,900 DraftKings)
WR: Mohamed Sanu ($4,800 DraftKings)
TE: David Njoku ($3,800 DraftKings)
FLEX: Christian McCaffrey ($8,300 DraftKings)
D/ST: Bears ($3,300 DraftKings)

 

Or we can do a Pittsburgh stack with our lower ownership players being from the Chicago Bears lineup.

This one would look like this:

QB: Big Ben ($6,500 DraftKings)
RB: Tarik Cohen ($4,600 DraftKings)
RB: James Conner ($7,700 DraftKings)
WR: Antonio Brown ($8,700 DraftKings)
WR: Taylor Gabriel ($4,300 DraftKings)
WR: Juju Smith-Schuster ($7,300 DraftKings)
TE: Trey Burton ($4,500 DraftKings)
FLEX: Ito Smith ($3,100 DraftKings)
D/ST: Bears ($3,300 DraftKings)

 

If you want to talk about the lineups or anything else regarding this Week 6 of the NFL Season just hit me up on Twitter @DailyHitman !

Monday Night Fantasy presented by The DFS Hitman

Time to end the week with a little style.

Today it is time for Monday Night Fantasy presented by yours truly G.R. Bunch aka The DFS Hitman.

If you wanna hit me on the Tweeter you know where to find me (@DailyHitman)

 

Alright so tonight we have the Kansas City Chiefs heading into Mile High Stadium to face the Denver Broncos. Kansas City enters this game undefeated after knocking off the Chargers, 49ers and Steelers by a combined 26 points. Denver hasn’t been so lucky losing 27-14 last week versus Baltimore. Other than that they have beat Oakland by 1 and Seattle by 3.

Now the one thing we can count on from Denver is that they are going to be running out a stellar defense that hasn’t given up over 30 points this season. But their offense isn’t the best being led by Case Keenum who has a little bit of a knee problem right now.

Kansas City runs their team by the old mantra of “The Best Defense is a Good Offense.” This means that Kansas City is giving up 487 yards per game and has allowed 92 points to be scored against them in three weeks. But they have also put up 402 yards per game and scored 118 points through three weeks as well. So their defense isn’t potent, but their offense is.

Well I am going to be a little naysayer here and say that Patrick Mahomes will come back down to earth this week. Denver still has Von Miller (14 Tackles, 4.0 Sacks) and I expect him to be bringing pressure all night. Denver’s defense will play a motivated game tonight at Mile High and allow under 20 points to this potent KC Offense. That is my nay-say of the week.

But what about the player’s who are going to ball out?

I got you….

Emmanuel Sanders – An electric player. Last week he had a 35-yard rushing touchdown as well as 5 catches for 38 yards vs the Ravens. Denver’s Offense was essentially held hostage by the Baltimore defense after Sander’s touchdown. They had 7 punts, 1 interception and a turnover on downs. Kansas City is a way better matchup for Sanders as they rank 26th in NFL in defense vs WR.

Jeff Heuerman – Jake Butt is OUT for remainder of the season leaving most of the reps at TE for Heuerman. Last week Heuerman only had 2 catches for 7 yards which inspires little hope. The inspiration for me to include him this week relies in his Red Zone Targets which were 2/4 last week. Heuerman is in line for a TD this week, trust.

Royce Freeman – Okay this one is pretty speculative and based off Phillip Lindsay being ejected last week. If Lindsay is disciplined by the team then Freeman would be the main beneficiary as he was last week. Freeman had 13 carries for 53 yards and 1 TD last week even in a blowout loss the the Ravens. I can see Freeman going off this week if Linday is thrown in the doghouse like I expect him to be.

Case Keenum – Keenum is awfully cheap for going up against the 32nd ranked defense vs QBs. I don’t love how Keenum has been playing but he has a really talented offense around him. Keenum had an interested 3 TD, 3 INT performance week 1 versus Seattle. Then two stinkers versus the Raiders and the Ravens. I like Keenum to get back on track versus the Chiefs.

 

On the Chief’s side I got you….

Sammy Watkins – Watkins hauled in his first touchdown as a Chief last week en route to another solid fantasy performance. Watkins has garnered 18 touches in the last 2 weeks after only 5 in week 1. This has translated into 11 catches for 155 yards and 1 TD for Watkins. I like Watkins over someone like Tyreke Hill in this one.

Travis Kelce – The most targeted Chief for a reason, Kelce is a big body tight end who has great hands. 20 targets over the last 2 weeks has resulted in 15 catches for 223 and 2 TDs which is good for a 27.6 Fpts per game. Kelce is an absolute beast who has a good matchup versus Denver’s defense which ranks 24th in the NFL vs TE.

I hate the RBs from KC tonight which is why I didn’t write about any of them. The only KC player I really feel safe playing is Travis Kelce who is a key cog in the KC offense and should receive a heavy allotment of targets. Watkins is a little more risky.

Now remember this is with the assumption I am making that Denver’s defense will hold stronger than Kansas City’s offense. Denver has always played inspired football at home, then you throw in a division foe in the Chiefs and a Monday Night Game. Watch for a lower scoring game than usual out of KC.

 

Of course if you do not agree let me know how you feel @DailyHitman on Twitter!

Week 4 NFL Chopping Block

Hey y’all Gregory here with another edition of the NFL Chopping Block!

Follow me on Twitter @DailyHitman

Trying to grow that follower count you feel me?

Anyways I found out I am going to the CLE @ OAK game this Sunday so I am hyped while writing this article to say the least. I am a raider fan at heart but you can’t not love the story of Baker “Big-Time” Mayfield. I literally just made that nickname up please don’t steal it.

So. Where to begin?

Let us start by listing all 12 games that will be included on the Featured Slate for DFS. (Remember no SNF or MNF)

 

All the Games (Over/Under Included)

 

CIN @ ATL – O/U: 53.5
TB @ CHI – O/U: 46.5
DET @ DAL – O/U: 44.0
BUF @ GB – O/U: 44.0
HOU @ IND – O/U: 47.0
NYJ @ JAC – O/U: 38.5
MIA @ NE – O/U: 48.0
PHI @ TEN – O/U: 41.0
SEA @ ARI – O/U: 39.0
CLE @ OAK – O/U: 45.0
SF @ LAC – O/U: 46.0
NO @ NYG – O/U: 51.0

 

I really like CIN @ ATL, MIA @ NE, SF @ LAC, NO @ NYG & CLE @ OAK for games to potentially target for your DFS lineups. I mean if you are running a JAC stack with Blake Bortles then good luck, I just think it’s idiotic. Anyways, games I find to be off limits from a fantasy perspective would be NYJ @ JAC, PHI @ TEN, SEA @ ARI & hell lets throw in the DAL & CHI offenses because they suck. Now we need to talk about the games and see who is on the chopping block.

Lets be clear the chopping block is not good. Not where you want to be. Not ever. So if I am listing “Your Boi” on the chopping block then it isn’t good.

 

Chopping Block #1 (CIN @ ATL)

My first two chopping block targets would be the “Star” receivers for each team. A.J. Green had less fantasy points last week than Tyler Boyd. I really don’t like that A.J. Green only has 3 more targets than Boyd. One game with 3 TDs is propping up his price tag and his stat line. Now the other guy would be Julio Jones, who picked himself up a Questionable tag this week thanks to a calf injury. Calvin Ridley was the guy playing like Julio Jones in Week 3 for the Falcons & Julio Jones was making his best Mohammed Sanu impression. I love Jones, he is so good at football it is insane. But. He draws a lot of heavy coverage making him almost nonexistent in some games despite the high targets.

 

Chopping Block #2 (MIA @ NE)

Because of Monday Night’s performance vs the Lions I am throwing the entire Patriots team on the Chopping Block. They have been a disappoint this year and yes it is okay to say that. You aren’t crazy. We all watched the debacle on Monday Night where Tom Brady led the Patriots to a whopping 10 points versus one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The same defense that gave up 48 points to the Jets. That one. Rob Gronkowski has now had two down weeks in a row and picked up a little injury. Rex Burkhead just hit the IR, and Julian Edelman still has one more week on his suspension. This may be the last week that the Patriots are bad so take advantage while you still can.

 

Chopping Block #3 (SF @ LAC)

Okay this one is a little unorthodox but I am throwing the entire SF Front Office on the chopping block. They made a huge mistake with the signing of Jimmy Garoppolo for a staggering $137.5 million with a $74.1 million injury guarantee. So no getting out of paying him now that he is out for the year with a Torn ACL. I mean who is to say that Jimmy G. is even an NFL level Quarterback? It absolutely blows my mind that they would feed that much money to a guy who has less than half a season in career starts. I mean sure he led them to a 5-0 record in the last 5 games of the season. You also know that by him doing this it completely fucked up the 49ers draft position. Also he only threw for 7 touchdowns and 5 interceptions in those games so not good stats either. But hey, go ahead and throw him over $100 million I am sure you will bring the 49ers back to greatness in no time!

 

Chopping Block #4 (NO @ NYG)

The New Orleans defense can hop on the chopping block this week. They have surrended 103 points thus far through only 3 games for an average of 34.3 points allowed per game. They only have one turnover this year which was an interception and only 6 sacks. This is great news for players like Sterling Shephard, Saquon Barkley & of course Odell Beckham Jr. or ODB for short. They are poised for even larger workloads versus a Saints defense that gives up 345.7 yards per game passing but only 84.3 yards on the ground. It’s okay Saquon Barkley can catch passes too. Also, Cody Lattimer is out this week for the Giants. Expect big things out of the NYG offense.

 

Chopping Block #5 (CLE @ OAK)

I want to throw whoever the hell is calling plays for the Raiders on the Chopping Block. The reason I say whoever is because Jon Gruden is notorious for being a “play-calling” Head Coach. The new Offensive Coordinator for the Raiders is Greg Olson who was the QB coach for the Rams last year. Now if you watch the games you will see the Raiders come out one drive and look explosive, dangerous and like a team that can score 100 points in a game. Then the next drive they run some sort of prevent to win formation that involves a lot of dump off passes to the RB and runs right up the middle. I don’t know what plays are Olsons or what plays are Grudens but I can sense a bit of disconnect. Perfect evidence of this would be the Raiders airing it out early last week to Jordy Nelson for almost 130 yards in one quarter and a TD. Then they proceeded to score all of 13 points for the rest of the game and lose to the Dolphins 28-20. Literally the same deal versus the Rams as well where the Raiders come out in drive 1 with a TD and never put together anything like it again. I don’t understand, maybe Jon Gruden is too old? Just kidding I wouldn’t say that about chuckee.

 

Thank you all for reading this week’s edition of the NFL Chopping Block presented by the @DailyHitman!